Ingabe imithwalo yemikhumbi iyawa noma iyawa?

Lesi sibalo esingenhla sibonisa ukuqhathanisa phakathi kwamanani aphezulu okuthutha impahla emizileni emikhulu eyahlukahlukene ezinsukwini ezingama-90 ezedlule kanye namanani okuthutha impahla ngoJanuwari 2023, lapho amanani okuthutha impahla esuka eMpumalanga Asia eya eNtshonalanga naseMpumalanga ye-United States ehla ngaphezu kuka-50%.

 

Kungani inkomba yezimpahla zasolwandle ibalulekile?

Iyini inkinga ngokwehla okukhulu kwezindleko zempahla yolwandle?

Yiziphi izikhuthazo ezilethwe yizinguquko ku-index yokuhweba kwamanye amazwe okuvamile kanye nokuhweba nge-inthanethi okudlula imingcele ezigabeni zethu zezemidlalo nokuqina komzimba?

 

01

Iningi lokuhwebelana komhlaba wonke lifinyelelwa ngokuthunyelwa kwempahla olwandle ukuze kudluliselwe inani, futhi amazinga okuthutha impahla akhuphuka kakhulu eminyakeni embalwa edlule abangele umonakalo omkhulu emnothweni womhlaba.

Ngokusho kocwaningo lweminyaka engama-30 olwenziwe yi-International Monetary Fund (IMF) oluhlanganisa amazwe nezifunda ezingu-143, umthelela wokwenyuka kwamazinga okuthutha izimpahla olwandle ekukhuphukeni kwamanani omhlaba wonke mkhulu kakhulu. Uma amazinga okuthutha izimpahla olwandle ephindwe kabili, izinga lokunyuka kwamanani lizokhuphuka ngamaphesenti angu-0.7.

Phakathi kwazo, amazwe nezifunda ezithembele kakhulu ekuthengeni impahla kwamanye amazwe futhi ezinezinga eliphezulu lokuhlanganiswa kwe-supply chain yomhlaba wonke zizoba nomuzwa onamandla wokwehla kwamandla emali okubangelwa ukwanda kwamanani okuthutha impahla olwandle.

 

02

Ukwehla okukhulu kwezindleko zokuthutha izimpahla olwandle kubonisa okungenani izinkinga ezimbili.

Okokuqala, isidingo semakethe sehlile.

Eminyakeni emithathu edlule, ngenxa yomonakalo wobhubhane kanye nokwehluka kwezindlela zokulawula, ezinye izimpahla (njengokuqina komzimba ekhaya, umsebenzi wasehhovisi, imidlalo, njll.) zibonise isimo sokuthengiswa ngokweqile. Ukuze bahlangabezane nezidingo zabathengi futhi bangadlulwa abancintisana nabo, abathengisi baphuthuma ukuyothenga kusenesikhathi. Lesi yisona sizathu esiyinhloko sokukhuphuka kwamanani nezindleko zokuthumela, kuyilapho besebenzisa ngokweqile isidingo semakethe esikhona kusenesikhathi. Njengamanje, kusekhona impahla emakethe futhi isesikhathini sokugcina sokukhishwa kwempahla.

Okwesibili, intengo (noma izindleko) akuseyona yodwa into enquma inani lokuthengisa.

Ngokombono, izindleko zokuhamba zabathengi baphesheya kwezilwandle noma abathengisi be-e-commerce abawela imingcele ziyehla, okubonakala sengathi kuhle, kodwa empeleni, ngenxa yokuthi “i-monk encane ne-Congee iyanda”, kanye nesimo sengqondo sokungabi nathemba sabathengi maqondana nokulindela imali engenayo, ukuthengiswa kwezimpahla nezimpahla emakethe kuncishisiwe kakhulu, futhi izinto ezingathengiswayo zenzeka ngezikhathi ezithile.

 

03

Izindleko zokuthumela azikhuphuki futhi azinciphi. Yini enye esingayenza ngokuthumela imikhiqizo yokufaneleka kwamanye amazwe?

Okokuqala,imikhiqizo yezemidlalo nokufaneleka komzimbaakuyona nje imikhiqizo edingekayo, kodwa futhi akuyona imboni eshonayo. Ubunzima bungokwesikhashana nje. Uma nje siphikelela ekuthuthukiseni imikhiqizo ehlangabezana nezidingo zabathengi, futhi sisebenzisa iziteshi ezifanele zokukhangisa nokuthengisa, ukululama kuzoba khona maduze noma kamuva.

Okwesibili, amasu ahlukene okuthuthukisa umkhiqizo kanye neziteshi zokumaketha kufanele asetshenziswe kubakhiqizi, abathengisi bomkhiqizo, abathengisi be-e-commerce, kanye nezinkampani zokuhweba, besebenzisa ngokugcwele imodeli entsha "ye-inthanethi + engaxhunyiwe ku-inthanethi" ekuhleleni nasekusebenziseni.

Okwesithathu, ngokuvulwa kwemingcele yezwe, kubonakala sengathi maduze nje, indawo yezixuku emibukisweni edlule izophinde ivele. Izinkampani zemibukiso yezimboni kanye nezinhlangano kufanele zinikeze ukwesekwa okwengeziwe kokuxhumana okuqondile phakathi kwamabhizinisi nabathengi.